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Qual 222023 FIRST Chance
Red51
703421.4
546833.3
999613.9
Blue81
142539.3
154038.7
99987.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74960501502002505181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#3
33.31.1
32.2→31.1
Auto14.4
Teleop10.9
End8.1
blue by 6.0
1425
#11
39.30.5
39.9→39.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.4
End6.7
Second
7034
#21
21.41.1
23.2→22.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End4.8
blue by 17.3
1540
#6
38.70.5
38.6→38.1
Auto11.9
Teleop18.8
End8.0
Third
9996
#17
13.91.8
11.8→10.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End6.2
red by 6.0
9998
#24
7.90.8
9.5→8.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop5.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsMissed