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Qual 232023 FIRST Chance
Red103
469219.1
644336.0
646510.8
Blue68
466216.1
448827.4
95530.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696830405060809010010368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#5
36.02.0
31.4→33.4
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.3
red by 5.6
955
#7
30.40.0
26.1→26.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Second
4692
#12
19.12.0
16.5→18.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8
blue by 8.3
4488
#23
27.40.0
29.2→29.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Third
6465
#19
10.82.0
9.5→11.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End5.9
blue by 5.3
4662
#14
16.10.0
13.2→13.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed