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Qual 242023 FIRST Chance
Red77
281134.7
363632.0
999714.2
Blue50
273320.7
999915.3
263526.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744901001502002507750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#4
34.70.0
30.5→30.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End8.5
red by 8.8
2635
#20
26.00.3
26.1→25.8
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End5.7
Second
3636
#16
32.00.0
28.7→28.7
Auto4.7
Teleop18.5
End8.5
red by 11.3
2733
#9
20.70.3
16.9→16.6
Auto9.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
Third
9997
#10
14.20.0
12.6→12.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End7.7
blue by 1.1
9999
#13
15.30.5
11.7→11.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed