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Qual 292023 FIRST Chance
Red47
448827.4
99987.9
237419.9
Blue132
644336.0
669615.5
142539.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5798015020047132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#23
27.40.7
28.1→27.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End5.7
blue by 11.9
1425
#11
39.30.8
38.4→39.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.4
End6.7
Second
2374
#15
19.90.7
20.6→19.9
Auto10.3
Teleop5.5
End4.3
blue by 16.1
6443
#5
36.00.8
33.9→34.6
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Third
9998
#24
7.91.1
9.0→7.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop5.0
End2.9
blue by 7.6
6696
#18
15.50.8
14.5→15.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned