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Red102
703421.4
646510.8
247144.0
Blue82
363632.0
263526.0
299023.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7990020030040050060070010282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.3
43.543.9
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End10.6
red by 12.0
3636
#16
32.00.3
31.931.6
Auto4.7
Teleop18.5
End8.5
Second
7034
#21
21.40.3
21.121.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End4.8
blue by 4.6
2635
#20
26.00.3
26.326.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End5.7
Third
6465
#19
10.80.3
10.510.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End5.9
blue by 13.0
23.80.3
24.023.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed