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Red89
75327.5
999613.9
281134.7
Blue82
95530.4
999714.2
469219.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865701001502008982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.2
32.133.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End8.5
red by 4.3
955
#7
30.40.2
29.329.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Second
753
#22
27.51.2
26.327.5
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 8.4
4692
#12
19.10.2
19.018.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8
Third
9996
#17
13.91.9
11.913.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End6.2
blue by 0.4
9997
#10
14.20.3
14.514.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned