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Qual 322023 FIRST Chance
Red101
404324.5
273320.7
546833.3
Blue96
154038.7
466216.1
999915.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846105010015010196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#3
33.30.5
32.6→33.2
Auto14.4
Teleop10.9
End8.1
blue by 5.4
1540
#6
38.71.4
37.1→38.5
Auto11.9
Teleop18.8
End8.0
Second
4043
#2
24.50.5
23.8→24.3
Auto10.1
Teleop5.3
End9.4
red by 8.4
4662
#14
16.11.4
14.7→16.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End7.4
Third
2733
#9
20.70.5
19.7→20.3
Auto9.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
red by 5.4
9999
#13
15.32.2
13.1→15.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned