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Red78
531021.5
863020.0
741425.5
Blue44
872113.7
566623.2
54579.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555102040801001201407844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.5
16.117.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.0
End5.3
red by 2.3
5666
#10
23.20.3
20.320.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End7.7
Second
5310
#20
21.51.5
19.220.6
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End7.6
red by 7.7
8721
#23
13.70.3
15.114.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End4.1
Third
8630
#19
20.01.5
15.617.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End4.0
red by 10.1
5457
#28
9.80.3
13.313.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned