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Red77
164721.1
428535.3
901420.5
Blue75
692129.9
48628.2
201623.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676840506080901007775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#14
35.30.8
30.431.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.7
End6.7
red by 5.4
6921
#18
29.90.5
21.522.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Second
1647
#17
21.10.8
15.816.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End6.3
blue by 7.1
486
#12
28.20.5
24.324.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.9
End6.2
Third
9014
#22
20.50.8
18.118.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End7.2
blue by 3.1
2016
#24
23.60.5
17.017.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed