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Red134
139153.6
877113.8
27252.2
Blue116
31653.2
457524.9
910020.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159250150200134116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.9
43.044.0
Auto16.0
Teleop30.3
End7.3
red by 0.4
316
#3
53.21.1
48.349.4
Auto12.7
Teleop30.5
End10.0
Second
272
#1
52.20.9
45.746.6
Auto16.3
Teleop27.0
End8.9
red by 27.3
4575
#21
24.91.1
21.822.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
8771
#27
13.80.9
16.317.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End4.6
blue by 7.1
9100
#26
20.91.1
19.220.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned