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Red104
540126.9
48437.0
331453.6
Blue150
437350.2
909423.8
32141.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979220406080120140160180104150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.9
44.044.9
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End7.8
red by 3.5
50.22.4
42.244.6
Auto17.4
Teleop25.3
End7.5
Second
484
#7
37.00.9
21.722.6
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End8.4
blue by 4.4
321
#9
41.32.4
27.930.3
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End6.2
Third
5401
#11
26.90.9
24.725.6
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End7.2
red by 3.1
9094
#13
23.82.4
16.819.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned