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Red129
562422.4
27252.2
139153.6
Blue71
909423.8
902728.9
201623.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141745010020012971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.1
52.352.4
Auto16.0
Teleop30.3
End7.3
red by 24.7
9027
#16
28.90.3
29.329.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End6.3
Second
272
#1
52.20.1
50.850.9
Auto16.3
Teleop27.0
End8.9
red by 28.4
9094
#13
23.80.3
24.224.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Third
5624
#15
22.40.1
21.121.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End4.4
blue by 1.1
2016
#24
23.60.3
24.023.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2