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Red133
32141.3
901420.5
48437.0
Blue97
540126.9
245822.8
741425.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017320406012014016018013397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#9
41.30.7
38.839.5
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End6.2
red by 14.4
5401
#11
26.90.4
25.726.1
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End7.2
Second
484
#7
37.00.7
34.435.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End8.4
red by 11.4
25.50.4
24.324.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Third
9014
#22
20.50.7
17.918.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End7.2
blue by 2.3
2458
#25
22.80.4
22.022.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End4.7