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Red153
562422.4
27252.2
139153.6
Blue93
48437.0
901420.5
32141.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139935015020015393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.5
52.452.9
Auto16.0
Teleop30.3
End7.3
red by 12.3
321
#9
41.30.0
39.539.5
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End6.2
Second
272
#1
52.20.5
50.951.5
Auto16.3
Teleop27.0
End8.9
red by 15.2
484
#7
37.00.0
35.135.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End8.4
Third
5624
#15
22.40.5
21.221.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End4.4
red by 1.9
9014
#22
20.50.0
18.718.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End7.2