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Red161
549014.6
31653.2
331453.6
Blue112
260747.8
437350.2
910020.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128126050100150200250300161112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.6
53.053.6
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End7.8
red by 3.5
50.20.1
49.949.8
Auto17.4
Teleop25.3
End7.5
Second
316
#3
53.20.6
52.553.1
Auto12.7
Teleop30.5
End10.0
red by 5.4
47.80.1
47.647.5
Auto11.8
Teleop27.5
End8.4
Third
5490
#29
14.60.6
13.914.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End5.1
blue by 6.3
9100
#26
20.90.1
20.620.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End6.6