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Red180
159161.9
93067.5
265630.4
Blue148
178148.0
839342.9
263845.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172138100150200250180148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
67.50.4
67.167.5
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End7.6
red by 19.5
1781
#17
48.00.3
47.447.7
Auto10.2
Teleop30.8
End7.0
Second
61.90.4
61.662.0
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
red by 16.9
2638
#21
45.00.3
44.444.7
Auto12.4
Teleop24.4
End8.2
Third
2656
#39
30.40.5
30.030.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
blue by 12.5
42.90.3
42.342.6
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8