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Red107
839342.9
159161.9
814510.2
Blue39
900420.0
751519.1
11737.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9458015020010739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.92.1
46.348.4
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
red by 24.6
117
#20
37.42.2
20.017.8
Auto9.0
Teleop22.0
End6.4
Second
42.92.1
30.632.7
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8
red by 23.0
9004
#32
20.05.5
20.014.5
Auto7.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Third
8145
#48
10.21.9
6.68.5
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End2.4
blue by 8.9
7515
#44
19.11.6
22.420.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed