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Red110
170829.8
415039.4
318135.8
Blue127
870523.1
414544.4
446751.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92101050150200110127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4150
#23
39.41.7
33.034.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End8.6
blue by 12.1
4467
#18
51.62.2
42.745.0
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.3
Second
3181
#16
35.81.5
25.927.4
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End7.0
blue by 8.6
44.42.2
31.834.0
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End6.9
Third
1708
#27
29.81.5
28.229.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 6.6
8705
#25
23.13.7
18.922.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned