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Red49
265630.4
913923.2
178148.0
Blue112
12036.6
408530.6
603229.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768905010015049112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#17
48.01.6
36.835.2
Auto10.2
Teleop30.8
End7.0
red by 11.4
120
#30
36.62.0
32.234.2
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End9.9
Second
2656
#39
30.42.7
18.716.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
blue by 0.2
4085
#11
30.62.0
21.323.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2
Third
9139
#46
23.22.7
17.815.1
Auto7.8
Teleop8.0
End7.4
blue by 6.1
6032
#22
29.42.0
28.830.8
Auto11.0
Teleop13.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned