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Red97
886121.5
405025.3
263845.0
Blue112
4851.5
716543.1
757018.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111905010015020097112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#21
45.01.6
36.037.6
Auto12.4
Teleop24.4
End8.2
blue by 6.5
48
#7
51.50.4
50.150.5
Auto12.4
Teleop29.5
End9.1
Second
4050
#42
25.32.7
19.221.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 17.8
43.10.4
38.538.9
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End7.3
Third
8861
#47
21.52.7
17.620.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End5.5
red by 2.8
7570
#45
18.70.7
17.017.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed