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Red112
205130.9
319332.1
12036.6
Blue116
499138.0
93067.5
727428.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311950100150200112116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#30
36.62.0
34.236.1
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End9.9
blue by 30.9
930
#1
67.50.6
61.662.2
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End7.6
Second
3193
#13
32.12.0
23.225.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End9.5
blue by 5.9
38.01.0
22.423.4
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End6.3
Third
2051
#33
30.92.0
25.227.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.1
red by 2.6
7274
#35
28.31.0
23.324.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed