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Red145
446751.6
178758.5
348426.3
Blue83
402746.2
814510.2
395420.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347505010015020014583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.51.8
52.654.4
Auto14.7
Teleop34.7
End8.7
red by 12.3
4027
#28
46.21.0
45.244.2
Auto12.1
Teleop26.7
End7.1
Second
4467
#18
51.61.8
44.746.5
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.3
red by 30.8
3954
#38
20.81.6
21.920.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
Third
3484
#34
26.31.8
20.622.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End6.8
red by 16.1
8145
#48
10.21.0
10.79.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed