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Red140
159161.9
824318.0
317152.1
Blue136
178758.5
716543.1
265630.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137132100110120150160170140136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.8
59.660.4
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
red by 3.5
58.50.8
55.956.7
Auto14.7
Teleop34.7
End8.7
Second
52.10.8
51.552.3
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End9.5
red by 9.0
43.10.8
41.141.8
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End7.3
Third
8243
#40
18.00.8
17.218.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End4.5
blue by 12.5
2656
#39
30.41.0
27.528.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned