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Red99
822228.3
405025.3
205130.9
Blue126
408530.6
287253.4
37832.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801255010015020099126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2051
#33
30.91.2
29.630.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.1
blue by 22.5
2872
#29
53.41.0
52.653.5
Auto17.0
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
8222
#36
28.31.2
27.128.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.3
End6.7
blue by 4.6
378
#14
32.91.0
30.731.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
4050
#42
25.31.7
23.725.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 5.3
4085
#11
30.61.0
28.429.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed