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Red127
839342.9
727428.3
716543.1
Blue85
913923.2
348426.3
603229.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1187720406010014016018012785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.4
39.641.1
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End7.3
red by 13.7
6032
#22
29.40.5
28.929.4
Auto11.0
Teleop13.1
End5.2
Second
42.91.4
39.440.9
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8
red by 16.6
3484
#34
26.30.5
25.826.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End6.8
Third
7274
#35
28.31.9
26.428.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End3.7
red by 5.0
9139
#46
23.20.7
22.623.2
Auto7.8
Teleop8.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned