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Red101
395420.8
205335.7
317152.1
Blue42
814013.8
217231.1
886121.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125715010015020010142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.11.0
52.551.5
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End9.5
red by 21.1
2172
#26
31.12.1
33.231.1
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End7.0
Second
2053
#15
35.71.0
36.135.1
Auto13.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
red by 14.2
8861
#47
21.52.8
24.321.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Third
3954
#38
20.81.3
22.120.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
red by 7.0
8140
#43
13.82.1
15.913.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsMissed