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Red171
159161.9
93067.5
265630.4
Blue73
155943.7
319332.1
170829.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1721055015020017173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
67.50.4
65.966.3
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End7.6
red by 23.8
1559
#12
43.70.8
44.343.5
Auto12.8
Teleop22.9
End8.0
Second
61.90.4
60.460.8
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
red by 29.9
3193
#13
32.10.8
32.631.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End9.5
Third
2656
#39
30.40.5
28.529.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
red by 0.7
1708
#27
29.80.8
30.329.6
Auto4.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7