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Red158
12036.6
414544.4
446751.6
Blue121
408530.6
37832.9
716543.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810450200158121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#18
51.60.6
51.752.3
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.3
red by 8.5
43.10.4
41.842.3
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End7.3
Second
44.40.6
44.645.1
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End6.9
red by 11.5
378
#14
32.90.4
31.632.0
Auto9.8
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
120
#30
36.60.6
36.737.3
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End9.9
red by 6.0
4085
#11
30.60.4
29.329.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2