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Red169
287253.4
317152.1
4851.5
Blue129
318135.8
402746.2
499138.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16911950100150200169129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#29
53.40.3
53.553.8
Auto17.0
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 7.1
4027
#28
46.20.2
46.046.2
Auto12.1
Teleop26.7
End7.1
Second
52.10.3
52.352.6
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End9.5
red by 14.2
38.00.3
36.937.2
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End6.3
Third
48
#7
51.50.3
51.751.9
Auto12.4
Teleop29.5
End9.1
red by 15.7
3181
#16
35.80.2
35.035.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End7.0