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Red119
155943.7
319332.1
170829.8
Blue124
408530.6
37832.9
716543.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121118090100120130140150119124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#12
43.70.2
43.543.7
Auto12.8
Teleop22.9
End8.0
red by 0.6
43.10.3
42.342.6
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End7.3
Second
3193
#13
32.10.2
31.932.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End9.5
blue by 0.8
378
#14
32.90.3
32.032.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Third
1708
#27
29.80.2
29.629.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.4
End6.7
blue by 0.8
4085
#11
30.60.3
29.730.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2