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Red182
159161.9
93067.5
265630.4
Blue123
446751.6
414544.4
12036.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16814080100120160180200220182123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
67.50.5
66.366.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End7.6
red by 15.9
4467
#18
51.60.3
52.352.0
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.3
Second
61.90.5
60.861.3
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
red by 17.6
44.40.3
45.144.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End6.9
Third
2656
#39
30.40.6
29.029.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
blue by 6.1
120
#30
36.60.3
37.337.0
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End9.9