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Red158
263845.0
839342.9
178148.0
Blue149
4851.5
317152.1
287253.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13616750100150200250158149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#17
48.00.6
46.647.2
Auto10.2
Teleop30.8
End7.0
blue by 5.3
2872
#29
53.40.1
53.853.7
Auto17.0
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
2638
#21
45.00.6
43.644.2
Auto12.4
Teleop24.4
End8.2
blue by 7.1
52.10.1
52.652.5
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End9.5
Third
42.90.6
41.542.1
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8
blue by 8.6
48
#7
51.50.1
51.951.8
Auto12.4
Teleop29.5
End9.1