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Red113
12036.6
414544.4
446751.6
Blue168
37940.9
178758.5
5949.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141157100200250113168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#18
51.60.5
52.051.6
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.3
blue by 6.9
58.50.4
57.658.0
Auto14.7
Teleop34.7
End8.7
Second
44.40.5
44.944.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End6.9
blue by 4.9
59
#10
49.30.4
48.548.9
Auto9.2
Teleop31.0
End9.0
Third
120
#30
36.60.5
37.036.6
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End9.9
blue by 4.3
379
#24
40.90.4
40.040.4
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.9