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Red163
589554.1
43321.6
253952.0
Blue108
2543.5
139141.3
465327.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711450100150200163108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.3
53.453.7
Auto13.8
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 10.6
25
#8
43.50.1
42.942.8
Auto10.8
Teleop23.6
End9.1
Second
52.00.3
51.351.6
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 10.6
1391
#17
41.30.1
40.740.7
Auto12.7
Teleop21.9
End6.7
Third
433
#16
21.60.3
20.921.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.4
End8.1
blue by 5.5
4653
#20
27.10.0
26.526.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End6.3