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Red131
589554.1
43321.6
253952.0
Blue134
2543.5
139141.3
465327.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711250100150200131134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.1
53.353.4
Auto13.8
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 10.6
25
#8
43.50.6
42.242.9
Auto10.8
Teleop23.6
End9.1
Second
52.00.1
51.251.3
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 10.6
1391
#17
41.30.6
40.140.7
Auto12.7
Teleop21.9
End6.7
Third
433
#16
21.60.1
20.820.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.4
End8.1
blue by 5.5
4653
#20
27.10.6
26.026.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End6.3