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Red125
180744.9
218014.2
260744.9
Blue142
2543.5
139141.3
465327.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911350150200125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.5
44.444.9
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End8.6
red by 1.4
25
#8
43.50.9
41.442.2
Auto10.8
Teleop23.6
End9.1
Second
2607
#13
44.90.6
44.344.9
Auto9.9
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 3.5
1391
#17
41.30.9
39.240.1
Auto12.7
Teleop21.9
End6.7
Third
2180
#31
14.20.5
13.714.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End4.1
blue by 12.9
4653
#20
27.10.8
25.226.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End6.3