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Red128
34145.9
259028.2
465327.1
Blue33
511315.7
549010.8
680818.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884902040608010012014012833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#7
45.95.1
31.536.6
Auto11.2
Teleop26.5
End8.2
red by 27.5
6808
#24
18.41.8
17.515.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Second
2590
#28
28.24.7
25.630.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End8.1
red by 12.5
5113
#25
15.71.8
19.417.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Third
4653
#20
27.14.7
20.224.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End6.3
red by 16.3
5490
#34
10.81.8
13.611.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsMissed