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Red78
27235.2
70917.1
180744.9
Blue121
139141.3
253952.0
81621.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310060708011012013014078121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.91.0
37.035.9
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End8.6
blue by 7.0
52.02.4
44.046.4
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End9.3
Second
272
#9
35.21.0
33.532.5
Auto13.3
Teleop15.6
End6.3
blue by 6.1
1391
#17
41.32.6
31.734.3
Auto12.7
Teleop21.9
End6.7
Third
709
#23
17.11.0
17.616.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End4.7
blue by 3.9
816
#19
21.02.4
16.919.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned