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Red125
253952.0
70837.1
255910.7
Blue71
42315.9
121842.8
259028.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105965015020012571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.01.4
48.349.7
Auto12.5
Teleop30.2
End9.3
red by 9.2
42.82.3
44.041.8
Auto15.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
Second
708
#11
37.11.4
37.438.8
Auto10.0
Teleop18.5
End8.7
red by 8.9
2590
#28
28.22.3
31.929.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End8.1
Third
2559
#29
10.71.4
11.412.8
Auto1.3
Teleop5.5
End3.9
blue by 5.2
423
#12
15.92.3
15.513.2
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsMissed