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Red90
589554.1
81621.0
540716.6
Blue121
36529.3
34145.9
209518.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99885015090121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.2
50.750.5
Auto13.8
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 8.1
341
#7
45.92.6
39.341.9
Auto11.2
Teleop26.5
End8.2
Second
816
#19
21.00.2
21.821.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End6.9
blue by 8.3
365
#14
29.32.4
27.930.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End8.4
Third
5407
#26
16.60.2
19.319.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End4.8
blue by 1.7
2095
#21
18.32.4
16.719.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned