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Red91
42315.9
259028.2
518127.7
Blue123
164036.3
81621.0
34145.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691145010015091123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#28
28.20.3
27.828.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End8.1
blue by 17.8
341
#7
45.90.3
45.345.6
Auto11.2
Teleop26.5
End8.2
Second
5181
#18
27.70.3
27.327.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End6.5
blue by 8.6
36.30.3
35.836.0
Auto12.7
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
423
#12
15.90.3
15.615.9
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End4.7
blue by 5.1
816
#19
21.00.3
20.520.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End6.9