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Red105
10342.2
121842.8
209518.3
Blue103
622616.3
70837.1
27235.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11392406080100140160180105103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.0
42.842.8
Auto15.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
red by 5.6
708
#11
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.0
Teleop18.5
End8.7
Second
103
#5
42.20.0
42.342.3
Auto8.7
Teleop27.0
End6.5
red by 7.0
272
#9
35.20.0
35.335.2
Auto13.3
Teleop15.6
End6.3
Third
2095
#21
18.30.0
18.318.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End5.0
red by 2.0
6226
#27
16.30.0
16.416.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End5.1