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Red100
363728.3
36529.3
568426.0
Blue117
260744.9
218014.2
180744.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611450100150200100117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#14
29.30.3
29.629.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.5
End8.4
blue by 15.6
44.90.3
44.745.0
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End8.6
Second
3637
#10
28.30.3
28.628.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End5.3
blue by 16.6
2607
#13
44.90.3
44.745.0
Auto9.9
Teleop25.9
End8.8
Third
5684
#15
26.00.3
26.326.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.6
End4.5
red by 11.8
2180
#31
14.20.3
14.014.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End4.1