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Red114
2543.5
139141.3
465327.1
Blue105
10342.2
121842.8
209518.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111110105115120114105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#8
43.50.3
40.740.9
Auto10.8
Teleop23.6
End9.1
red by 0.7
42.80.1
42.842.8
Auto15.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
Second
1391
#17
41.30.3
38.538.8
Auto12.7
Teleop21.9
End6.7
blue by 0.9
103
#5
42.20.1
42.342.2
Auto8.7
Teleop27.0
End6.5
Third
4653
#20
27.10.2
24.624.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End6.3
red by 8.8
2095
#21
18.30.1
18.418.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End5.0