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Red56
64142.8
6669.6
446736.8
Blue10
99918.0
99927.6
265619.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394901001502002503003505610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.6
36.737.3
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End1.5
red by 17.5
2656
#13
19.32.8
24.121.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Second
666
#2
9.61.0
6.87.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End-1.1
red by 1.6
8.04.6
14.29.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End-1.3
Third
6414
#16
2.81.0
3.34.3
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End-0.8
blue by 4.9
7.64.6
13.18.5
Auto0.7
Teleop7.7
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed