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Red71
499119.5
999020.7
574028.5
Blue29
415026.3
99918.0
64142.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77280501001507129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto7.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 2.2
26.30.9
29.228.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.7
Second
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End-1.3
red by 12.7
8.01.6
9.68.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End-1.3
Third
4991
#15
19.50.0
21.521.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 16.7
6414
#16
2.81.6
4.32.8
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed