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Red35
11720.8
265619.3
499119.5
Blue62
99997.8
6669.6
164033.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68340501001502002503003562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117
#12
20.82.0
22.920.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End1.7
blue by 12.4
33.21.1
32.133.2
Auto10.4
Teleop19.5
End3.2
Second
4991
#15
19.52.0
21.519.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 9.8
666
#2
9.61.8
7.99.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End-1.1
Third
2656
#13
19.32.0
21.319.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.6
red by 11.5
9999
#14
7.81.8
6.07.8
Auto1.1
Teleop8.1
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsEarned