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Red114
142548.6
154048.6
468249.6
Blue181
204666.6
198344.0
291074.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149195100250114181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.7
50.449.6
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
blue by 24.8
74.40.1
74.374.4
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
Second
1540
#23
48.60.7
49.348.6
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
blue by 18.0
2046
#27
66.60.1
66.566.6
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
Third
1425
#22
48.60.7
49.348.6
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8
red by 4.6
1983
#10
44.00.1
43.944.0
Auto14.0
Teleop22.0
End7.9