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Red134
142548.6
154048.6
406138.9
Blue182
204666.6
94846.1
291074.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13619950100150250134182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#23
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
blue by 25.8
74.40.1
74.474.4
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End10.4
Second
1425
#22
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto15.0
Teleop24.7
End7.8
blue by 18.1
2046
#27
66.60.1
66.666.6
Auto16.7
Teleop39.7
End8.0
Third
4061
#17
38.90.0
39.038.9
Auto9.3
Teleop23.3
End6.5
blue by 7.2
948
#13
46.10.1
46.146.1
Auto13.7
Teleop25.8
End6.7