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Red146
546832.0
321858.4
582728.2
Blue152
703444.0
468249.6
363652.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11113450100150200250146152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.42.6
49.452.0
Auto14.8
Teleop33.1
End9.8
red by 5.6
3636
#21
52.82.0
49.851.7
Auto10.7
Teleop31.8
End9.0
Second
5468
#43
32.02.6
31.834.4
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End5.5
blue by 17.6
49.62.0
33.235.2
Auto15.3
Teleop26.7
End7.3
Third
5827
#44
28.22.6
25.628.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End6.8
blue by 15.7
7034
#25
44.02.0
41.043.0
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned